Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN TOUR 13 - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Damon Heta		Darryl Pilgrim

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.47	2.5
	1.48	2.59
	1.47	2.57
	1.5	2.6
	1.46	2.64
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)	2.58 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damon Heta
63.6%

Darryl Pilgrim
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damon Heta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Darryl Pilgrim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damon Heta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darryl Pilgrim than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darryl Pilgrim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Damon Heta - Darryl Pilgrim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Recent matches Heta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pilgrim is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Heta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Heta will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damon Heta
Darts
03.10.23	Damon Heta - Ryan Searle	1:2 best of 5 sets ✺
28.09.23	Damon Heta - Brian Raman	6:1 ✺
24.09.23	Gerwyn Price - Damon Heta	6:5 ✺
24.09.23	Damon Heta - Gian Van Veen	6:4 ✺
23.09.23	Damon Heta - Nandor Major	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Darryl Pilgrim
Darts
13.10.23	Jeff Smith - Darryl Pilgrim	1:6 ✺
19.08.23	Scott Taylor - Darryl Pilgrim	3:4 ✺
19.08.23	Darryl Pilgrim - Justin Smith	4:2 ✺
16.08.23	Darryl Pilgrim - Justin Smith	4:1 ✺
16.08.23	Scott Taylor - Darryl Pilgrim	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

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