Match Info

European Tour 15 - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: MECC Maastricht (Maastricht) 🌤️ ...


	Damon Heta		Martin Schindler

	1	2
	1.62	2.30	Watch
	1.60	2.28
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.60	2.25
	1.70	2.07
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)	2.21 (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damon Heta
57.6%

Martin Schindler
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damon Heta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Martin Schindler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damon Heta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Schindler than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martin Schindler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Damon Heta - Martin Schindler Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Heta is ranked World Ranking: 21., and Schindler is ranked World Ranking: 23..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heta won 2.

Heta has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Schindler is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Schindler could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Heta holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Heta has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:29 (averaging 4:4.8 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Damon Heta - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Martin Schindler - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.3%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damon Heta
Darts
17.10.26	Jonny Clayton - Damon Heta	1:6 ✺
16.10.26	Damon Heta - Maikel Verberk	6:4 ✺
11.10.26	Damon Heta - Cristo Reyes	4:6 ✺
10.10.26	Danny Noppert - Damon Heta	3:6 ✺
09.10.26	Damon Heta - Alexander Fehlmann	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW
- Martin Schindler
Darts
17.10.26	Martin Schindler - Karel Sedlacek	6:4 ✺
10.10.26	Martin Schindler - Tom Bissell	4:6 ✺
22.09.26	Martin Schindler - Thomas Lovely	5:6 ✺
12.09.26	Martin Schindler - Robert Cross	4:6 ✺
05.09.26	Wessel Nijman - Martin Schindler	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
18.04.26	Martin Schindler - Damon Heta	6:5
31.03.24	Damon Heta - Martin Schindler	1:6
28.05.23	Damon Heta - Martin Schindler	6:5
26.02.23	Damon Heta - Martin Schindler	2:6
22.05.22	Martin Schindler - Damon Heta	5:6 best of 11 legs
07.12.20	Damon Heta - Martin Schindler	4:1 best of 7 legs

Damon Heta - Martin Schindler