Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Daniel Astbury		Tom Lonsdale

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.61	2.09	Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.69	2.08	Watch
	1.61	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)	2.01 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Astbury
53.8%

Tom Lonsdale
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Astbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Astbury's performance.

Tom Lonsdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tom Lonsdale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Astbury than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Astbury that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Lonsdale than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tom Lonsdale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Astbury - Tom Lonsdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Astbury will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Lonsdale will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Lonsdale is ranked World Ranking: 209.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Lonsdale to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Astbury won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:9 (average 3.5:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Astbury - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Tom Lonsdale - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.56%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Astbury
Darts
10.04.25	Tom Lonsdale - Daniel Astbury	1:4 ✺
10.04.25	Jason Heaver - Daniel Astbury	4:2 ✺
10.04.25	Daniel Astbury - Paul Dulson	4:1 ✺
10.04.25	Lukasz Waclawski - Daniel Astbury	4:3 ✺
10.04.25	Daniel Astbury - Richie Burnett	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL
- Tom Lonsdale
Darts
10.04.25	Tom Lonsdale - Daniel Astbury	1:4 ✺
10.04.25	Paul Dulson - Tom Lonsdale	0:4 ✺
10.04.25	Tom Lonsdale - Richie Burnett	4:0 ✺
10.04.25	Jason Heaver - Tom Lonsdale	4:1 ✺
10.04.25	Tom Lonsdale - Lukasz Waclawski	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
10.04.25	Tom Lonsdale - Daniel Astbury	1:4
02.10.24	Daniel Astbury - Tom Lonsdale	4:0
01.10.24	Tom Lonsdale - Daniel Astbury	4:3
30.09.24	Daniel Astbury - Tom Lonsdale	3:4

Daniel Astbury - Tom Lonsdale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide