Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Daniel Ayres		Derek Coulson

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.05	1.64
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.11	1.68
	2.13	1.64
	2.05	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)	1.63 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Ayres
43%

Derek Coulson
57%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Ayres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Derek Coulson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Ayres than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derek Coulson than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Daniel Ayres - Derek Coulson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

Ayres is ranked World Ranking: 133., and Coulson is ranked World Ranking: 124..

Ayres has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Coulson shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Coulson in today's match, at odds of 1.67.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ayres has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:12 (averaging 1.7:4 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Derek Coulson - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.79%, but this team recently wins 74% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Ayres
Darts
28.10.26	Archie Self - Daniel Ayres	4:1 ✺
28.10.26	Andy Baetens - Daniel Ayres	4:1 ✺
28.10.26	Daniel Ayres - Darren Beveridge	1:4 ✺
27.10.26	Daniel Ayres - Andy Baetens	4:3 ✺
27.10.26	Archie Self - Daniel Ayres	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL
- Derek Coulson
Darts
28.10.26	Derek Coulson - Andy Baetens	4:2 ✺
28.10.26	Darren Beveridge - Derek Coulson	4:1 ✺
28.10.26	Derek Coulson - David Davies	1:4 ✺
27.10.26	David Davies - Derek Coulson	4:2 ✺
27.10.26	Derek Coulson - Darren Beveridge	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
27.10.26	Derek Coulson - Daniel Ayres	4:1
26.10.26	Daniel Ayres - Derek Coulson	2:4
13.06.26	Daniel Ayres - Derek Coulson	2:4

Daniel Ayres - Derek Coulson