Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Daniel Larsson		Paul Hogan

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.05
			Watch
	1.34	3.03	Watch
	1.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)	3.11 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Larsson
70.1%

Paul Hogan
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Larsson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Paul Hogan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Larsson than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paul Hogan than the current prediction. (+2%)

Daniel Larsson - Paul Hogan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Larsson is ranked World Ranking: 177.

Larsson is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hogan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Larsson is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Larsson won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 4:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Larsson
Darts
24.10.25	Daniel Larsson - Fallon Sherrock	4:0 ✺
24.10.25	Paul Hogan - Daniel Larsson	3:4 ✺
24.10.25	Tom Sykes - Daniel Larsson	2:4 ✺
24.10.25	Daniel Larsson - Matthew Edgar	4:1 ✺
23.10.25	Matthew Edgar - Daniel Larsson	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Paul Hogan
Darts
24.10.25	Tom Sykes - Paul Hogan	4:2 ✺
24.10.25	Paul Hogan - Daniel Larsson	3:4 ✺
24.10.25	Paul Hogan - Fallon Sherrock	4:1 ✺
24.10.25	Matthew Edgar - Paul Hogan	4:2 ✺
23.10.25	Paul Hogan - Matthew Edgar	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
24.10.25	Paul Hogan - Daniel Larsson	3:4
23.10.25	Daniel Larsson - Paul Hogan	4:2

Daniel Larsson - Paul Hogan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide