Match Info

European Tour 3 - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Oktoberhallen (Wieze)


	Danny Noppert		Luke Woodhouse

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.18
	1.55	2.25
	1.59	2.15	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)	2.24 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danny Noppert
58.4%

Luke Woodhouse
41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Danny Noppert have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Luke Woodhouse have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Woodhouse than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Danny Noppert - Luke Woodhouse Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Woodhouse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Noppert is ranked World Ranking: 11. Woodhouse is ranked World Ranking: 22.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Noppert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Noppert might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Noppert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 5:4.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Luke Woodhouse - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.64%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danny Noppert
Darts
15.03.26	Danny Noppert - Gerwyn Price	5:6 ✺
14.03.26	Danny Noppert - Ricky Evans	6:1 ✺
08.03.26	Luke Littler - Danny Noppert	10:6 ✺
07.03.26	Peter Wright - Danny Noppert	2:10 ✺
06.03.26	Dimitri van den Bergh - Danny Noppert	4:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWW
- Luke Woodhouse
Darts
20.03.26	Luke Woodhouse - Pascal Devroey	6:2 ✺
14.03.26	Chris Dobey - Luke Woodhouse	6:1 ✺
13.03.26	Luke Woodhouse - Dragutin Horvat	6:0 ✺
06.03.26	Luke Woodhouse - Luke Humphries	3:10 ✺
22.02.26	Luke Woodhouse - Chris Dobey	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
18.10.25	Danny Noppert - Luke Woodhouse	6:3
13.06.23	Luke Woodhouse - Danny Noppert	6:4

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