Match Info

World Matchplay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday

Location: Winter Gardens (Blackpool)


	Danny Noppert		Robert Cross

	1	2
	2.50	1.53	Watch
	2.50	1.53
	2.30	1.51	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.31	1.56	Watch
	2.32	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.06)	1.55 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danny Noppert
39.4%

Robert Cross
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danny Noppert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Danny Noppert's form might have worsened.

Robert Cross has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Robert Cross's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Danny Noppert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robert Cross than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Robert Cross, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Danny Noppert - Robert Cross Predictions

Users Predictions: Robert Cross will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:10

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Preview

Noppert is ranked World Ranking: 10. Cross is ranked World Ranking: 20.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noppert won 1.

Noppert has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cross is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Noppert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cross is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Cross will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Noppert won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:49. (average 5:6.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danny Noppert
Darts
11.07.26	Danny Noppert - Sebastian Bialecki	3:6 ✺
21.06.26	Danny Noppert - Jermaine Wattimena	5:6 ✺
20.06.26	Danny Noppert - Madars Razma	6:2 ✺
16.06.26	Danny Noppert - Tom Bissell	6:4 ✺
30.05.26	Danny Noppert - William OConnor	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL
- Robert Cross
Darts
10.07.26	Robert Cross - Max Hopp	3:6 ✺
06.07.26	Robert Cross - Keane Barry	6:2 ✺
21.06.26	Robert Cross - Nathan Aspinall	6:2 ✺
21.06.26	Robert Cross - Kevin Doets	6:5 ✺
20.06.26	Gian Van Veen - Robert Cross	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
28.09.25	Robert Cross - Danny Noppert	6:5
01.03.25	Robert Cross - Danny Noppert	10:9
21.04.24	Robert Cross - Danny Noppert	6:1
01.04.24	Robert Cross - Danny Noppert	2:6
10.03.24	Robert Cross - Danny Noppert	6:1
28.10.23	Robert Cross - Danny Noppert	7:10
12.08.23	Robert Cross - Danny Noppert	6:4

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