Match Info

World Grand Prix - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)


	Danny Noppert		Ryan Joyce

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.48	2.60
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.56	2.35
	1.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	2.43 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danny Noppert
61.6%

Ryan Joyce
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danny Noppert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ryan Joyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Danny Noppert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Joyce than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryan Joyce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Danny Noppert - Ryan Joyce Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Joyce (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Format: Double in, Double out.

Noppert is ranked World Ranking: 8., and Joyce is ranked World Ranking: 25..

In recent outings, Noppert has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Joyce is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Joyce could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Noppert is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Noppert has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 3:4.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Danny Noppert - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Ryan Joyce - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.3%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danny Noppert
Darts
28.09.26	Danny Noppert - Niko Springer	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Luke Littler - Danny Noppert	6:4 ✺
13.09.26	James Wade - Danny Noppert	6:0 ✺
13.09.26	Danny Noppert - Wessel Nijman	6:4 ✺
12.09.26	Danny Noppert - Chris Landman	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWW
- Ryan Joyce
Darts
28.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Ryan Joyce	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ryan Joyce - Ross Smith	5:6 ✺
13.09.26	Ryan Joyce - Jermaine Wattimena	6:5 ✺
12.09.26	Josh Rock - Ryan Joyce	3:6 ✺
11.09.26	Ryan Joyce - Stephen Burton	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
21.12.24	Danny Noppert - Ryan Joyce	1:3
15.10.22	Danny Noppert - Ryan Joyce	5:6 best of 11 legs

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