Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday


	Derek Coulson		Scott Baker

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3
	1.33	3.00	Watch
	1.32	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derek Coulson
70.7%

Scott Baker
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derek Coulson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Scott Baker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derek Coulson than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derek Coulson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scott Baker than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scott Baker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Derek Coulson - Scott Baker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Coulson is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Baker has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Baker may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Coulson is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derek Coulson
Darts
16.07.25	Keegan Brown - Derek Coulson	4:3 ✺
16.07.25	Steve West - Derek Coulson	2:4 ✺
16.07.25	Derek Coulson - Tonni Sorensen	4:3 ✺
16.07.25	Jonathan Worsley - Derek Coulson	2:4 ✺
16.07.25	Derek Coulson - Andreas Harrysson	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW
- Scott Baker
Darts
18.07.25	Keegan Brown - Scott Baker	4:2 ✺
18.07.25	Scott Baker - Tonni Sorensen	4:3 ✺
18.07.25	Barry Copeland - Scott Baker	2:4 ✺
18.07.25	Scott Baker - Jonathan Worsley	0:4 ✺
18.07.25	Scott Baker - Robbie Long	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW

Derek Coulson - Scott Baker: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide