Match Info

Date: 17 November 2020, Tuesday


	Devon Petersen		Dirk van Duijvenbode

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.57	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.27
	1.63	2.31
	1.53	2.38
	1.57	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)	2.4 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Devon Petersen
60.6%

Dirk van Duijvenbode
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Devon Petersen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Dirk van Duijvenbode has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Devon Petersen than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Devon Petersen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dirk van Duijvenbode than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dirk van Duijvenbode could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Devon Petersen - Dirk van Duijvenbode Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Petersen will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). van Duijvenbode will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for van Duijvenbode: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Preview

Petersen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

van Duijvenbode is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

van Duijvenbode could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Petersen will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Devon Petersen
Darts
16.11.20	Ian White - Devon Petersen	2:5 best of 9 legs ✺
13.11.20	Devon Petersen - Ryan Murray	3:6 best of 11 legs
01.11.20	James Wade - Devon Petersen	11:10 best of 21 legs ✺
31.10.20	Devon Petersen - Ian White	10:6 best of 19 legs ✺
30.10.20	Devon Petersen - Martijn Kleermaker	10:8 best of 19 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLL
- Dirk van Duijvenbode
Darts
16.11.20	Peter Wright - Dirk van Duijvenbode	4:5 best of 9 legs ✺
31.10.20	Jonny Clayton - Dirk van Duijvenbode	10:4 best of 19 legs ✺
30.10.20	Michael Smith - Dirk van Duijvenbode	8:10 best of 19 legs ✺
29.10.20	Danny Noppert - Dirk van Duijvenbode	0:6 best of 11 legs ✺
12.10.20	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Gerwyn Price	2:5 best of 5 sets ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWL

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