Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday

Location: Morningside Arena (Leicester)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Dimitri van den Bergh		Dave Chisnall

	1	2
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.9	1.9
	1.85	1.86
	1.81	1.89
	1.91	1.91
	1.88	1.92	Watch
	1.9	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)	1.91 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dimitri van den Bergh
50.6%

Dave Chisnall
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dimitri van den Bergh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Dave Chisnall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dimitri van den Bergh than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Dimitri van den Bergh - Dave Chisnall Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. van den Bergh will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Chisnall will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for van den Bergh: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches van den Bergh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chisnall is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chisnall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches van den Bergh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dimitri van den Bergh
Darts
24.09.22	Dimitri van den Bergh - Andrew Gilding	5:6 best of 11 legs ✺
17.09.22	Dimitri van den Bergh - Ryan Joyce	2:6 best of 11 legs ✺
11.09.22	Jose Oliveira De Sousa - Dimitri van den Bergh	3:7 best of 13 legs ✺
11.09.22	Krzysztof Ratajski - Dimitri van den Bergh	3:6 best of 11 legs ✺
11.09.22	Luke Woodhouse - Dimitri van den Bergh	5:6 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWW
- Dave Chisnall
Darts
25.09.22	Dave Chisnall - Danny Noppert	7:4 best of 13 legs
25.09.22	Jose Oliveira De Sousa - Dave Chisnall	2:6 best of 11 legs ✺
25.09.22	Nathan Aspinall - Dave Chisnall	4:6 best of 11 legs ✺
24.09.22	Dave Chisnall - Jelle Klaasen	6:2 best of 11 legs ✺
17.09.22	Joe Cullen - Dave Chisnall	6:5 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
20.07.21	Dimitri van den Bergh - Dave Chisnall	11:8 best of 21 legs
30.12.20	Dave Chisnall - Dimitri van den Bergh	4:2 best of 5 sets
24.10.19	Dave Chisnall - Dimitri van den Bergh	6:3 best of 11 legs
03.06.18	Dave Chisnall - Dimitri van den Bergh	3:4 best of 7 legs
25.03.17	Dave Chisnall - Dimitri van den Bergh	6:0 best of 11 legs

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