Match Info

WORLD: PDC WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday

Location: Alexandra Palace (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Gabriel Clemens		Michael Smith

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.35
	3.25	1.34
	3.25	1.33
	3.26	1.38
	3.3	1.33
	3.2	1.35	Watch
	3.2	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)	1.34 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Clemens
29.2%

Michael Smith
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Clemens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Clemens than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriel Clemens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michael Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.7%	0%	39.3%

Gabriel Clemens - Michael Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Clemens will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Smith will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Clemens: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Smith to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Clemens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Clemens
Darts
01.01.23	Gerwyn Price - Gabriel Clemens	1:5 best of 5 sets ✺
30.12.22	Gabriel Clemens - Alan Soutar	4:1 best of 5 sets ✺
27.12.22	Jim Williams - Gabriel Clemens	3:4 best of 5 sets ✺
21.12.22	Gabriel Clemens - William OConnor	3:0 best of 5 sets ✺
25.11.22	Gabriel Clemens - Gary Anderson	4:6 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWWL
- Michael Smith
Darts
01.01.23	Michael Smith - Stephen Bunting	5:3 best of 5 sets ✺
30.12.22	Michael Smith - Joe Cullen	4:1 best of 5 sets ✺
28.12.22	Michael Smith - Martin Schindler	4:3 best of 5 sets ✺
16.12.22	Michael Smith - Nathan Rafferty	3:0 best of 5 sets ✺
25.11.22	Michael Smith - Ritchie Edhouse	5:6 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
05.03.22	Gabriel Clemens - Michael Smith	8:10 best of 19 legs

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