Match Info

Date: 8 October 2020, Thursday


	Gary Anderson		Danny Noppert

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.43	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.83
	1.4	2.9
	1.43	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)	2.88 ↑ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gary Anderson
67.1%

Danny Noppert
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gary Anderson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Danny Noppert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gary Anderson than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gary Anderson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danny Noppert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Gary Anderson - Danny Noppert Predictions

Users Predictions: Gary Anderson will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Anderson is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Noppert in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Anderson could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Anderson is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Anderson won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gary Anderson
Darts
06.10.20	Robert Cross - Gary Anderson	0:2 best of 5 sets ✺
05.09.20	Gerwyn Price - Gary Anderson	8:3 best of 14 legs ✺
04.09.20	Gary Anderson - Michael Van Gerwen	6:8 best of 14 legs ✺
03.09.20	Gary Anderson - Michael Smith	8:2 best of 14 legs ✺
02.09.20	Daryl Gurney - Gary Anderson	6:8 best of 14 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- Danny Noppert
Darts
06.10.20	Danny Noppert - Ryan Searle	2:1 best of 5 sets ✺
27.09.20	Danny Noppert - Daryl Gurney	6:2 best of 11 legs ✺
27.09.20	Max Hopp - Danny Noppert	4:6 best of 11 legs ✺
26.09.20	Adrian Lewis - Danny Noppert	2:6 best of 11 legs ✺
25.09.20	Danny Noppert - Josh Payne	6:2 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
02.11.19	Gary Anderson - Danny Noppert	1:6 best of 11 legs
20.07.19	Gary Anderson - Danny Noppert	10:6 best of 19 legs
17.11.16	Gary Anderson - Danny Noppert	10:9 best of 19 legs

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