Match Info

European Tour 11 - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: PVA Expo (Prague)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Gerwyn Price		Niko Springer

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.29	3.05
	1.01	9.42	Watch
	1.33	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.32)	4.45 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerwyn Price
78.1%

Niko Springer
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerwyn Price has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gerwyn Price's performance.

Niko Springer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Niko Springer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerwyn Price than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gerwyn Price that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niko Springer than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Niko Springer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gerwyn Price - Niko Springer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Price is ranked World Ranking: 9. Springer is ranked World Ranking: 73.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Price may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Price is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gerwyn Price
Darts
16.08.25	Gerwyn Price - Luke Littler	2:7 ✺
16.08.25	Gerwyn Price - Josh Rock	6:5 ✺
15.08.25	Gerwyn Price - Jonny Tata	6:4 ✺
09.08.25	Gerwyn Price - Chris Dobey	4:6 ✺
08.08.25	Gerwyn Price - Joe Comito	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW
- Niko Springer
Darts
05.09.25	Joe Cullen - Niko Springer	5:6 ✺
30.07.25	Niko Springer - Jeffrey de Graaf	5:6 ✺
13.07.25	Niko Springer - Martin Schindler	4:6 ✺
12.07.25	Stephen Bunting - Niko Springer	2:6 ✺
11.07.25	Niko Springer - Kevin Troppmann	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWW

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