Match Info

Date: 16 November 2020, Monday


	Glen Durrant		Jermaine Wattimena

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.37
	1.57	2.44
	1.57	2.3
	1.59	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.34)	2.43 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glen Durrant
61%

Jermaine Wattimena
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glen Durrant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Glen Durrant's form might have worsened.

Jermaine Wattimena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jermaine Wattimena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glen Durrant than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Glen Durrant that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jermaine Wattimena than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jermaine Wattimena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Glen Durrant - Jermaine Wattimena Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Durrant will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Wattimena will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Durrant: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Preview

Durrant is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wattimena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Durrant could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Durrant will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Durrant won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glen Durrant
Darts
18.10.20	Maik Kuivenhoven - Glen Durrant	6:3 best of 11 legs ✺
17.10.20	Glen Durrant - Nico Kurz	6:3 best of 11 legs ✺
15.10.20	Glen Durrant - Gary Anderson	10:9 best of 19 legs ✺
07.10.20	Dave Chisnall - Glen Durrant	2:0 best of 5 sets ✺
27.09.20	Daryl Gurney - Glen Durrant	6:4 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Jermaine Wattimena
Darts
10.11.20	Jermaine Wattimena - Jelle Klaasen	6:3 best of 11 legs
14.10.20	Jermaine Wattimena - Kim Huybrechts	1:5 best of 9 legs ✺
14.10.20	Gabriel Clemens - Jermaine Wattimena	5:3 best of 9 legs ✺
14.10.20	Luke Humphries - Jermaine Wattimena	5:0 best of 9 legs ✺
14.10.20	Jermaine Wattimena - Bradley Brooks	5:2 best of 9 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
10.10.19	Glen Durrant - Jermaine Wattimena	3:2 best of 5 sets
23.03.19	Jermaine Wattimena - Glen Durrant	6:5 best of 11 legs

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