Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday


	Graham Usher		Alex Spellman

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.49	2.34
	1.42	2.56	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.4	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.52)	2.47 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Graham Usher
62.8%

Alex Spellman
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Graham Usher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Alex Spellman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Graham Usher than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Graham Usher that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Spellman than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Spellman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Graham Usher - Alex Spellman Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Usher is ranked World Ranking: 163. Spellman is ranked World Ranking: 149.

Recent performances by Usher have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Spellman is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Usher might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Usher won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Graham Usher
Darts
19.12.25	Steve West - Graham Usher	1:3 ✺
18.12.25	Graham Usher - Steve West	3:1 ✺
18.12.25	Alex Spellman - Graham Usher	3:2 ✺
18.12.25	Graham Usher - Devon Petersen	3:1 ✺
18.12.25	Ram Guevara - Graham Usher	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWL
- Alex Spellman
Darts
19.12.25	Alex Spellman - Devon Petersen	3:2 ✺
18.12.25	Devon Petersen - Alex Spellman	1:3 ✺
18.12.25	Alex Spellman - Graham Usher	3:2 ✺
18.12.25	Alex Spellman - Ram Guevara	3:1 ✺
18.12.25	Steve West - Alex Spellman	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
18.12.25	Alex Spellman - Graham Usher	3:2
17.12.25	Graham Usher - Alex Spellman	1:3
16.12.25	Alex Spellman - Graham Usher	1:3

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