Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	James Richardson		Paul Hogan

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.77
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.89	1.79
	1.87	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 (1.87)	1.81 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Richardson
49.1%

Paul Hogan
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Richardson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Paul Hogan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Richardson than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paul Hogan than the current prediction. (+2%)

James Richardson - Paul Hogan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Richardson is ranked World Ranking: 178.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richardson won 2.

Richardson has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Hogan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hogan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Richardson won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:34. (average 3.6:3.8).

Last Results with these Odds

James Richardson - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Richardson
Darts
29.08.26	Ted Evetts - James Richardson	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Jack Smith - James Richardson	2:4 ✺
28.08.26	James Richardson - Jurgen Nuijten	4:3 ✺
28.08.26	Matthew Dennant - James Richardson	3:4 ✺
28.08.26	James Richardson - Danny Van Trijp	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW
- Paul Hogan
Darts
29.08.26	Paul Hogan - Ted Evetts	2:4 ✺
28.08.26	Ted Evetts - Paul Hogan	1:4 ✺
28.08.26	Paul Hogan - Steve Beaton	0:4 ✺
28.08.26	Paul Hogan - Colin Osborne	4:3 ✺
28.08.26	Adam Hunt - Paul Hogan	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
02.12.22	James Richardson - Paul Hogan	1:4 best of 7 legs
01.12.22	Paul Hogan - James Richardson	4:2 best of 7 legs
18.03.22	Paul Hogan - James Richardson	0:4 best of 7 legs
17.03.22	James Richardson - Paul Hogan	1:4 best of 7 legs
26.11.21	Paul Hogan - James Richardson	3:4 best of 7 legs
25.11.21	James Richardson - Paul Hogan	4:3 best of 7 legs
08.06.20	James Richardson - Paul Hogan	4:8 best of 15 legs

James Richardson - Paul Hogan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide