Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Jeff Smith		Joe Croft

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.68	1.98
			Watch
	1.68	2.09	Watch
	1.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)	2.07 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeff Smith
55.5%

Joe Croft
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeff Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Joe Croft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeff Smith than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joe Croft than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Jeff Smith - Joe Croft Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Croft will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Smith is ranked World Ranking: 69. Croft is ranked World Ranking: 178.

Smith has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Croft is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Smith won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 4:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Jeff Smith - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.7%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Joe Croft - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.3%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeff Smith
Darts
15.10.25	Jeff Smith - Jason Heaver	2:4 ✺
15.10.25	Conor Heneghan - Jeff Smith	4:3 ✺
14.10.25	Jeff Smith - Conor Heneghan	1:4 ✺
14.10.25	Jamie Owens - Jeff Smith	4:1 ✺
14.10.25	Jeff Smith - Jason Heaver	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLLW
- Joe Croft
Darts
15.10.25	Joe Croft - Conor Heneghan	4:3 ✺
14.10.25	Joe Croft - Jason Heaver	4:1 ✺
14.10.25	Conor Heneghan - Joe Croft	2:4 ✺
14.10.25	Joe Croft - Jeff Smith	1:4 ✺
14.10.25	Jamie Owens - Joe Croft	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
14.10.25	Joe Croft - Jeff Smith	1:4
13.10.25	Jeff Smith - Joe Croft	4:3

Jeff Smith - Joe Croft: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide