Match Info

WORLD: PDC WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Alexandra Palace (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Joe Cullen		Damon Heta

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.9
	1.9	1.9
	1.89	1.88
	1.93	1.96
	1.91	1.91
	1.89	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.86)	1.91 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joe Cullen
50.1%

Damon Heta
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joe Cullen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Damon Heta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joe Cullen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.3%	0%	3.7%

Joe Cullen - Damon Heta Predictions

Users Predictions: Joe Cullen will win (26 of 27 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.18% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Preview

Cullen in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Heta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cullen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joe Cullen
Darts
23.12.22	Joe Cullen - Ricky Evans	3:1 best of 5 sets ✺
27.11.22	Luke Humphries - Joe Cullen	10:3 best of 19 legs ✺
26.11.22	Scott Williams - Joe Cullen	7:10 best of 19 legs ✺
26.11.22	Joe Cullen - Kim Huybrechts	6:1 best of 11 legs ✺
25.11.22	Joe Cullen - Rowby John Rodriguez	6:2 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW
- Damon Heta
Darts
18.12.22	Damon Heta - Adrian Lewis	3:0 best of 5 sets ✺
25.11.22	Damon Heta - Ricardo Pietreczko	5:6 best of 11 legs ✺
15.11.22	Jonny Clayton - Damon Heta	2:5 best of 9 legs ✺
13.11.22	Damon Heta - Leonard Gates	5:4 best of 9 legs ✺
12.11.22	Damon Heta - Jermaine Wattimena	2:5 best of 9 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
16.10.22	Damon Heta - Joe Cullen	6:1 best of 11 legs
04.10.22	Joe Cullen - Damon Heta	2:1 best of 5 sets
26.08.22	Joe Cullen - Damon Heta	6:2 best of 11 legs
17.07.22	Joe Cullen - Damon Heta	10:2 best of 19 legs

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