Match Info

WORLD: MODUS SUPER SERIES

Date: 16 March 2023, Thursday


	John Nelson		Neil Duff

	1	2
			Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.2	1.3
	2.75	1.4
	2.93	1.35
	3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.77)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

John Nelson
30.7%

Neil Duff
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

John Nelson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Neil Duff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for John Nelson than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neil Duff than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

John Nelson - Neil Duff Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

Nelson is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Duff is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Duff could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Duff will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Duff to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nelson won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Nelson
Darts
16.03.23	Sam Cankett - John Nelson	4:0 ✺
16.03.23	John Nelson - Chas Barstow	2:4 ✺
16.03.23	Matt Clark - John Nelson	4:2 ✺
15.03.23	Sam Cankett - John Nelson	4:3 ✺
15.03.23	John Nelson - Gary Stafford	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Neil Duff
Darts
16.03.23	Neil Duff - Matt Clark	1:4 ✺
16.03.23	Sam Cankett - Neil Duff	1:4 ✺
16.03.23	Neil Duff - Gary Stafford	4:1 ✺
13.03.23	Lee Cocks - Neil Duff	4:2 ✺
13.03.23	Neil Duff - Robert Thornton	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
13.03.23	Neil Duff - John Nelson	4:2

John Nelson - Neil Duff: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide