Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday


	Josh Payne		Gavin Carlin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.34	3.1
	1.36	2.8
	1.44	2.62
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.37	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	2.82 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Josh Payne
67.1%

Gavin Carlin
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Josh Payne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Gavin Carlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Josh Payne than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Josh Payne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavin Carlin than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gavin Carlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Josh Payne - Gavin Carlin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Payne is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carlin is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Payne will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Payne won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Josh Payne
Darts
21.10.22	Lee Evans - Josh Payne	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
20.10.22	Josh Payne - Lee Evans	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
20.10.22	Gavin Carlin - Josh Payne	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
20.10.22	Josh Payne - Peter Jacques	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
20.10.22	Josh Payne - Chas Barstow	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- Gavin Carlin
Darts
21.10.22	Peter Jacques - Gavin Carlin	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
20.10.22	Gavin Carlin - Peter Jacques	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
20.10.22	Gavin Carlin - Josh Payne	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
20.10.22	Robert Owen - Gavin Carlin	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
20.10.22	Gavin Carlin - Lee Evans	1:4 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
20.10.22	Gavin Carlin - Josh Payne	2:4 best of 7 legs
06.07.22	Josh Payne - Gavin Carlin	4:1 best of 7 legs
05.07.22	Gavin Carlin - Josh Payne	3:4 best of 7 legs

Josh Payne - Gavin Carlin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide