Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday


	Jurjen van der Velde		Adam Gawlas

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.77
	1.14	4.67	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.91)	2.75 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurjen van der Velde
62.6%

Adam Gawlas
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurjen van der Velde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jurjen van der Velde's performance.

Adam Gawlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adam Gawlas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurjen van der Velde than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jurjen van der Velde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Gawlas than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adam Gawlas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jurjen van der Velde - Adam Gawlas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

van der Velde is ranked World Ranking: 140. Gawlas is ranked World Ranking: 63.

van der Velde has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gawlas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gawlas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Gawlas will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, van der Velde won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Adam Gawlas - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurjen van der Velde
Darts
15.08.25	Jeff Smith - Jurjen van der Velde	4:2 ✺
15.08.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Derek Coulson	4:3 ✺
15.08.25	John OShea - Jurjen van der Velde	2:4 ✺
14.08.25	Jurjen van der Velde - John OShea	4:1 ✺
14.08.25	Derek Coulson - Jurjen van der Velde	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWL
- Adam Gawlas
Darts
15.08.25	Adam Gawlas - Derek Coulson	4:1 ✺
15.08.25	Adam Gawlas - John OShea	3:4 ✺
15.08.25	Jeff Smith - Adam Gawlas	4:3 ✺
14.08.25	Adam Gawlas - Jeff Smith	2:4 ✺
14.08.25	John OShea - Adam Gawlas	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
14.08.25	Adam Gawlas - Jurjen van der Velde	4:0

Jurjen van der Velde - Adam Gawlas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide