Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Kevin Painter		Colin McCaughern

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.42
	2.55	1.43	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.59	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.58)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kevin Painter
36.2%

Colin McCaughern
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kevin Painter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Colin McCaughern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kevin Painter than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colin McCaughern than the current prediction. (-3%)

Kevin Painter - Colin McCaughern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

Painter has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

McCaughern is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

McCaughern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

McCaughern will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Kevin Painter - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.72%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kevin Painter
Darts
05.03.26	Scott Mitchell - Kevin Painter	4:3 ✺
05.03.26	Kevin Painter - Patrick Dekker	0:4 ✺
09.01.26	Robert Thornton - Kevin Painter	4:2 ✺
09.01.26	Kevin Painter - Michael Huntley	3:4 ✺
09.01.26	Johnny Haines - Kevin Painter	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Colin McCaughern
Darts
05.03.26	Colin McCaughern - Ciaran Forde	4:3 ✺
05.03.26	Martin Thomas - Colin McCaughern	2:4 ✺
04.03.26	Colin McCaughern - Adam Mould	4:3 ✺
04.03.26	Patrick Dekker - Colin McCaughern	4:2 ✺
04.03.26	Colin McCaughern - Dylan Slevin	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLL

Kevin Painter - Colin McCaughern: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide