Match Info

ADC Global Championship

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday


	Kurt Parry		Mat Caste

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.38	2.65
	2.10	1.61	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.39)	2.5 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kurt Parry
61.9%

Mat Caste
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kurt Parry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Mat Caste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kurt Parry than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kurt Parry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mat Caste than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mat Caste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kurt Parry - Mat Caste Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caste (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Parry is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Caste has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Parry might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kurt Parry
Darts
11.12.25	Robbie Martin - Kurt Parry	4:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kurt Parry - Jamie Kelling	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Gary Hayes - Kurt Parry	2:4 ✺
07.12.25	Kurt Parry - Christian Perez	4:2 ✺
07.12.25	Kurt Parry - Billy Leonard	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWW
- Mat Caste
Darts
11.12.25	Mat Caste - Graham Hall	2:4 ✺
06.12.25	Mat Caste - Jonny Barnes	2:4 ✺
06.12.25	Johann Brouwer - Mat Caste	4:1 ✺
06.12.25	Mat Caste - Dean Gallagher	3:4 ✺
06.12.25	Patrick Dekker - Mat Caste	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW

Kurt Parry - Mat Caste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide