Match Info

Date: 2 July 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bonus Arena (Hull) 🌤️ ...


	Lisa Ashton		Paul Hogan

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Lisa Ashton
39.8%

Paul Hogan
60.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lisa Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lisa Ashton's form might have worsened.

Paul Hogan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paul Hogan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lisa Ashton than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paul Hogan than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Users Predictions: Paul Hogan will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:8

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Recent matches Ashton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hogan is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lisa Ashton
Darts
17.06.22	Conan Whitehead - Lisa Ashton	4:2 best of 7 legs ✺
17.06.22	Lisa Ashton - Colin Osborne	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
17.06.22	Lisa Ashton - David Pallett	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
17.06.22	Graham Hall - Lisa Ashton	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
17.06.22	Lisa Ashton - Ryan Furness	4:2 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLW
- Paul Hogan
Darts
14.05.22	Paul Hogan - Ciaran Teehan	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
14.05.22	Ryan Furness - Paul Hogan	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
13.05.22	Ciaran Teehan - Paul Hogan	4:0 best of 7 legs ✺
13.05.22	Paul Hogan - Darryl Pilgrim	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
13.05.22	Paul Hogan - Scott Marsh	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW

Lisa Ashton - Paul Hogan