Match Info

US Darts Masters - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Location: The Theater at Madison Square Garden (New York, NY)


	Luke Humphries		Stephen Bunting

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.34	2.85
	1.41	2.78	Watch
	1.4	2.84
	1.4	2.77
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	2.87 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Humphries
67.4%

Stephen Bunting
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Stephen Bunting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Humphries that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stephen Bunting than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stephen Bunting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Luke Humphries - Stephen Bunting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2. Bunting is ranked World Ranking: 9.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 4.

Humphries has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Bunting has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bunting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Humphries might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 85:51. (average 5.7:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Humphries
Darts
25.06.26	Luke Humphries - Leonard Gates	6:1 ✺
06.06.26	Luke Littler - Luke Humphries	5:7 ✺
06.06.26	Gian Van Veen - Luke Humphries	5:6 ✺
05.06.26	Luke Humphries - Jeffrey de Graaf	6:3 ✺
28.05.26	Jonny Clayton - Luke Humphries	9:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW
- Stephen Bunting
Darts
25.06.26	Stephen Bunting - Alex Spellman	6:2 ✺
21.06.26	Stephen Bunting - Wessel Nijman	1:6 ✺
20.06.26	Stephen Bunting - Niels Zonneveld	6:5 ✺
05.06.26	Stephen Bunting - Viktor Tingstrom	5:6 ✺
30.05.26	Stephen Bunting - Cameron Menzies	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
14.05.26	Luke Humphries - Stephen Bunting	6:0
26.02.26	Stephen Bunting - Luke Humphries	6:4
22.02.26	Luke Humphries - Stephen Bunting	6:1
10.04.25	Stephen Bunting - Luke Humphries	1:6
20.02.25	Luke Humphries - Stephen Bunting	6:4
07.10.24	Luke Humphries - Stephen Bunting	2:1
16.07.24	Luke Humphries - Stephen Bunting	11:7

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