Match Info

European Tour 3 - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: WT Energiesysteme Arena (Riesa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Luke Woodhouse		Matthew Campbell

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.71	1.94	Watch
	1.66	2.07	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.7	2.07
	1.7	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)	2.02 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Woodhouse
54.1%

Matthew Campbell
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Woodhouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Matthew Campbell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Woodhouse than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Woodhouse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Campbell than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matthew Campbell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luke Woodhouse - Matthew Campbell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Woodhouse is ranked World Ranking: 32. Campbell is ranked World Ranking: 55.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Campbell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Woodhouse
Darts
22.03.25	Gary Anderson - Luke Woodhouse	6:4 ✺
21.03.25	Luke Woodhouse - Dominik Grüllich	6:4 ✺
09.03.25	Luke Littler - Luke Woodhouse	6:4 ✺
08.03.25	Gary Anderson - Luke Woodhouse	2:6 ✺
07.03.25	Luke Woodhouse - Cedric Waegemans	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWW
- Matthew Campbell
Darts
18.03.25	Jelle Klaasen - Matthew Campbell	6:4 ✺
11.03.25	Andy Boulton - Matthew Campbell	6:4 ✺
09.03.25	Ross Smith - Matthew Campbell	6:4 ✺
08.03.25	Peter Wright - Matthew Campbell	2:6 ✺
07.03.25	Cameron Menzies - Matthew Campbell	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLLWW

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