Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Mark Layton		Justin Smith

	1	2
	2.75	1.40	Watch
	2.80	1.38
	2.78	1.41	Watch
	2.77	1.39
	2.65	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.78)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Layton
33.6%

Justin Smith
66.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Layton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Justin Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Layton than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justin Smith than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Mark Layton - Justin Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

Layton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Smith has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Smith is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Smith will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Layton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Justin Smith - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.35%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Layton
Darts
04.09.26	Danny Goddard - Mark Layton	4:1 ✺
04.09.26	Mark Layton - Noa-Lynn van Leuven	2:4 ✺
03.09.26	Noa-Lynn van Leuven - Mark Layton	2:4 ✺
03.09.26	Mark Layton - Danny Goddard	2:4 ✺
03.09.26	Justin Smith - Mark Layton	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLL
- Justin Smith
Darts
04.09.26	Justin Smith - Andy Hamilton	3:4 ✺
04.09.26	Justin Smith - Danny Goddard	0:4 ✺
03.09.26	Danny Goddard - Justin Smith	4:0 ✺
03.09.26	Andy Hamilton - Justin Smith	3:4 ✺
03.09.26	Justin Smith - Mark Layton	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
03.09.26	Justin Smith - Mark Layton	4:3

Mark Layton - Justin Smith