Match Info

WORLD: PDC World Championship - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Alexandra Palace (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	L'Equipe
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Darts
Usa	DAZN USA
World	PDC TV


	Michael Van Gerwen		Callan Rydz

	1	2
	1.41	2.75
	1.44	2.75
	1.4	2.6
	1.4	2.85
	1.44	2.75
	1.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	2.72 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
65.8%

Callan Rydz
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Callan Rydz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Callan Rydz than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Callan Rydz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Michael Van Gerwen - Callan Rydz Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Van Gerwen will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. Rydz is ranked World Ranking: 43.

Recent matches Van Gerwen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rydz is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rydz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Van Gerwen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Van Gerwen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 5:4.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
30.12.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Jeffrey de Graaf	4:2 ✺
28.12.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Brendan Dolan	4:2 ✺
20.12.24	Michael Van Gerwen - James Hurrell	3:0 ✺
22.11.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Ian White	1:6 ✺
12.11.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Ryan Joyce	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWWLL
- Callan Rydz
Darts
30.12.24	Robert Owen - Callan Rydz	3:4 ✺
29.12.24	Dimitri van den Bergh - Callan Rydz	0:4 ✺
22.12.24	Martin Schindler - Callan Rydz	0:3 ✺
19.12.24	Callan Rydz - Romeo Grbavac	3:0 ✺
22.11.24	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Callan Rydz	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
24.11.23	Callan Rydz - Michael Van Gerwen	3:6
29.05.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Callan Rydz	4:6 best of 11 legs

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