Match Info

Date: 3 November 2020, Tuesday


	Nathan Derry		Martijn Kleermaker

	1	2
	4.5	1.18	Watch
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	3.8	1.27
	4.3	1.18
	4	1.22
	3.98	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.24)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Derry
23.3%

Martijn Kleermaker
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Derry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nathan Derry's form might have worsened.

Martijn Kleermaker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martijn Kleermaker's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Derry than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nathan Derry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martijn Kleermaker than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martijn Kleermaker, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Nathan Derry - Martijn Kleermaker Predictions

Users Predictions: Martijn Kleermaker will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Preview

Derry is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kleermaker is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kleermaker could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kleermaker is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Derry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Derry
Darts
03.11.20	Nathan Derry - Stephen Bunting	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
03.11.20	Krzysztof Ratajski - Nathan Derry	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
28.10.20	Nathan Derry - Richard North	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
28.10.20	Michael Mansell - Nathan Derry	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
28.10.20	Nathan Derry - Alan Tabern	1:4 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Martijn Kleermaker
Darts
03.11.20	Martijn Kleermaker - Krzysztof Ratajski	1:4 best of 7 legs ✺
03.11.20	Ron Meulenkamp - Martijn Kleermaker	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
30.10.20	Devon Petersen - Martijn Kleermaker	10:8 best of 19 legs ✺
29.10.20	Robert Cross - Martijn Kleermaker	3:6 best of 11 legs ✺
24.10.20	Krzysztof Ratajski - Martijn Kleermaker	6:4 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
02.09.20	Nathan Derry - Martijn Kleermaker	2:5 best of 9 legs

Nathan Derry - Martijn Kleermaker: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide