Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday


	Nathan Girvan		Kurt Parry

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.57	2.3
	1.59	2.22
	1.56	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	2.31 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Girvan
59.8%

Kurt Parry
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Girvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Kurt Parry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Girvan than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nathan Girvan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kurt Parry than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kurt Parry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Nathan Girvan - Kurt Parry Predictions

Users Predictions: Nathan Girvan will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

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Preview

Girvan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Parry is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Girvan will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Girvan
Darts
20.05.22	Jarred Cole - Nathan Girvan	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
20.05.22	Nathan Girvan - Peter Jacques	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
20.05.22	Michael Warburton - Nathan Girvan	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
20.05.22	Nathan Girvan - Scott Baker	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
19.05.22	Scott Baker - Nathan Girvan	1:4 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW
- Kurt Parry
Darts
20.05.22	Andy Jenkins - Kurt Parry	1:4 best of 7 legs ✺
20.05.22	Kurt Parry - Mark McGeeney	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
20.05.22	Kurt Parry - Stu Wilson	4:0 best of 7 legs ✺
20.05.22	Steve Brown - Kurt Parry	4:2 best of 7 legs ✺
20.05.22	Kurt Parry - Dan Read	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW

Nathan Girvan - Kurt Parry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide