Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Paul Hogan		Lewis Gurney

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.02
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.67	2.08
	1.55	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)	2.11 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paul Hogan
56.4%

Lewis Gurney
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paul Hogan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Lewis Gurney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paul Hogan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewis Gurney than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Paul Hogan - Lewis Gurney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Gurney is ranked World Ranking: 163.

Hogan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gurney is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hogan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paul Hogan
Darts
07.02.26	Radoslav Szaganski - Paul Hogan	4:2 ✺
06.02.26	Steve Lennon - Paul Hogan	2:4 ✺
06.02.26	Paul Hogan - Johnny Haines	4:2 ✺
06.02.26	Carl Wilson - Paul Hogan	4:1 ✺
06.02.26	Paul Hogan - Radoslav Szaganski	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLL
- Lewis Gurney
Darts
06.02.26	Archie Self - Lewis Gurney	2:4 ✺
06.02.26	Lewis Gurney - Scott Campbell	4:1 ✺
06.02.26	Lars Lindgreen - Lewis Gurney	3:4 ✺
06.02.26	Lewis Gurney - Aaron Gill	4:1 ✺
06.02.26	Tommy Lishman - Lewis Gurney	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWW

Paul Hogan - Lewis Gurney: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide