Match Info

PDC World Championship - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: Alexandra Palace (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Darts


	Ricky Evans		Charlie Manby

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.63	2.24	Watch
			Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.64	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)	2.19 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ricky Evans
56.5%

Charlie Manby
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ricky Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Charlie Manby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ricky Evans than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ricky Evans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlie Manby than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlie Manby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Ricky Evans - Charlie Manby Predictions

Users Predictions: Ricky Evans will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ricky Evans will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Preview

Evans is ranked World Ranking: 43. Manby is ranked World Ranking: 163.

Recent performances by Evans have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Manby is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Evans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ricky Evans
Darts
22.12.25	James Wade - Ricky Evans	2:3 ✺
12.12.25	Ricky Evans - Man Lok Leung	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	Danny Noppert - Ricky Evans	6:2 ✺
14.11.25	Ricky Evans - Gerwyn Price	9:16 ✺
12.11.25	Luke Woodhouse - Ricky Evans	9:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLLW
- Charlie Manby
Darts
22.12.25	Charlie Manby - Adam Sevada	3:0 ✺
15.12.25	Cameron Menzies - Charlie Manby	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	Charlie Manby - Keegan Brown	4:1 ✺
29.11.25	Neil Duff - Charlie Manby	0:4 ✺
28.11.25	Charlie Manby - Carl Wilkinson	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

Ricky Evans - Charlie Manby: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide