Match Info

Date: 23 December 2020, Wednesday


	Ricky Evans		Michael Mansell

	1	2
	1.66	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.14
	1.69	2.25
	1.67	2.2
	1.68	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)	2.23 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ricky Evans
57.4%

Michael Mansell
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ricky Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Michael Mansell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ricky Evans than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ricky Evans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Mansell than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Mansell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Ricky Evans - Michael Mansell Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Mansell will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Evans: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Evans is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mansell is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mansell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Evans will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ricky Evans
Darts
27.11.20	Ricky Evans - Jamie Hughes	2:6 best of 11 legs ✺
18.11.20	Nathan Aspinall - Ricky Evans	5:1 best of 9 legs ✺
17.11.20	Ricky Evans - Wayne Warren	5:3 best of 9 legs ✺
16.11.20	Dimitri van den Bergh - Ricky Evans	5:1 best of 9 legs ✺
10.11.20	Ricky Evans - Gavin Carlin	4:6 best of 11 legs
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Michael Mansell
Darts
18.12.20	Michael Mansell - Haupai Puha	3:0 best of 5 sets ✺
08.12.20	Michael Mansell - John Henderson	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
08.12.20	Harald Leitinger - Michael Mansell	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
08.12.20	Michael Mansell - Damon Heta	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
08.12.20	Stephen Bunting - Michael Mansell	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW

Ricky Evans - Michael Mansell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide