Match Info

Date: 24 November 2020, Tuesday


	Ross Smith		Andy Hamilton

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.49	2.63
	1.45	2.55
	1.5	2.5
	1.46	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)	2.61 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross Smith
64.2%

Andy Hamilton
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ross Smith's performance.

Andy Hamilton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andy Hamilton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ross Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Hamilton than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andy Hamilton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Ross Smith - Andy Hamilton Predictions

Users Predictions: Ross Smith will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Preview

Recent matches Smith is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamilton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Smith will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross Smith
Darts
24.11.20	Stephen Bunting - Ross Smith	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
24.11.20	Ross Smith - Daniel Larsson	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
24.11.20	Michael Mansell - Ross Smith	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
05.11.20	Martijn Kleermaker - Ross Smith	4:0 best of 7 legs ✺
05.11.20	Ross Smith - Steve West	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Andy Hamilton
Darts
24.11.20	Andy Hamilton - Michael Mansell	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
24.11.20	Stephen Bunting - Andy Hamilton	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
24.11.20	Andy Hamilton - Kai Fan Leung	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
04.11.20	Gary Blades - Andy Hamilton	0:4 best of 7 legs ✺
04.11.20	Andy Hamilton - Carl Wilkinson	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWW

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