Match Info

PDC World Championship - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Alexandra Palace (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	See, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	TVP Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Darts


	Ryan Searle		Jonny Clayton

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.89	1.89	Watch
	1.63	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.78)	2.1 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Searle
55.1%

Jonny Clayton
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Searle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Jonny Clayton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Searle than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryan Searle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonny Clayton than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jonny Clayton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ryan Searle - Jonny Clayton Predictions

Users Predictions: Ryan Searle will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ryan Searle will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

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Preview

Searle is ranked World Ranking: 20. Clayton is ranked World Ranking: 5.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Searle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 5.8:6.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Jonny Clayton - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.77%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Searle
Darts
29.12.25	James Hurrell - Ryan Searle	0:4 ✺
28.12.25	Martin Schindler - Ryan Searle	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Ryan Searle - Brendan Dolan	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Ryan Searle - Chris Landman	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Jermaine Wattimena - Ryan Searle	10:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWL
- Jonny Clayton
Darts
30.12.25	Jonny Clayton - Andreas Harrysson	4:2 ✺
27.12.25	Jonny Clayton - Niels Zonneveld	4:3 ✺
20.12.25	Jonny Clayton - Dom Taylor	Clayton J. walkover ✺
15.12.25	Jonny Clayton - Adam Lipscombe	3:1 ✺
21.11.25	Jonny Clayton - James Hurrell	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
23.10.25	Jonny Clayton - Ryan Searle	3:6
01.02.25	Jonny Clayton - Ryan Searle	4:3
31.08.24	Ryan Searle - Jonny Clayton	6:4
26.05.24	Jonny Clayton - Ryan Searle	6:2
21.07.23	Ryan Searle - Jonny Clayton	12:16

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