Match Info

European Tour 10 - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Ostermann Arena (Leverkusen)


	Sebastian Bialecki		James Wade

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.16	1.65
	2.07	1.7	Watch
	2.14	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.21)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Bialecki
43.6%

James Wade
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Bialecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

James Wade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Bialecki than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sebastian Bialecki - James Wade Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bialecki will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wade will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bialecki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Bialecki is ranked World Ranking: 64. Wade is ranked World Ranking: 6.

Bialecki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wade is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Wade may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wade is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Wade will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Bialecki - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.3%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Bialecki
Darts
12.07.26	Sebastian Bialecki - Kevin Doets	6:4 ✺
11.07.26	Danny Noppert - Sebastian Bialecki	3:6 ✺
10.07.26	William OConnor - Sebastian Bialecki	5:6 ✺
31.05.26	Sebastian Bialecki - Jimmy van Schie	4:6 ✺
30.05.26	Chris Dobey - Sebastian Bialecki	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWLW
- James Wade
Darts
12.07.26	James Wade - Jan Schmidt	6:2 ✺
11.07.26	James Wade - Maik Kuivenhoven	6:4 ✺
06.07.26	James Wade - Gary Anderson	6:5 ✺
26.06.26	Gerwyn Price - James Wade	3:6 ✺
25.06.26	James Wade - Adam Sevada	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

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