Match Info

Date: 16 September 2022, Friday

Location: AFAS Live (Amsterdam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Simon Whitlock		Danny Noppert

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.5	1.53
	2.46	1.53
	2.41	1.61
	2.38	1.57
	2.39	1.55	Watch
	2.46	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.15)	1.55 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simon Whitlock
38.8%

Danny Noppert
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simon Whitlock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Danny Noppert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simon Whitlock than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Simon Whitlock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Danny Noppert, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Simon Whitlock - Danny Noppert Predictions

Users Predictions: Simon Whitlock will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Whitlock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Noppert will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Noppert to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Whitlock won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simon Whitlock
Darts
04.09.22	Simon Whitlock - Ryan Meikle	5:6 best of 11 legs ✺
03.09.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Simon Whitlock	5:6 best of 11 legs ✺
02.09.22	Simon Whitlock - Janos Vegso	6:2 best of 11 legs ✺
26.08.22	Dimitri van den Bergh - Simon Whitlock	6:4 best of 11 legs ✺
20.08.22	Simon Whitlock - Joe Cullen	2:6 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLL
- Danny Noppert
Darts
10.09.22	Danny Noppert - Ross Smith	5:6 best of 11 legs ✺
03.09.22	Danny Noppert - Rusty Jake Rodriguez	1:6 best of 11 legs ✺
23.07.22	Gerwyn Price - Danny Noppert	17:11 best of 33 legs ✺
22.07.22	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Danny Noppert	11:16 best of 31 legs ✺
20.07.22	Daryl Gurney - Danny Noppert	4:11 best of 21 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
16.09.18	Danny Noppert - Simon Whitlock	2:7 best of 13 legs

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