Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday


	Tom Lonsdale		Ashley Coleman

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.72	1.93
	1.76	1.91	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.77	1.92
	1.7	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)	1.92 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Lonsdale
52.3%

Ashley Coleman
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Lonsdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ashley Coleman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Lonsdale than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashley Coleman than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Tom Lonsdale - Ashley Coleman Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Lonsdale is ranked World Ranking: 209.

Now, both players are in good form.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lonsdale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Tom Lonsdale - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 53.87%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Lonsdale
Darts
12.02.26	Ashley Coleman - Tom Lonsdale	4:2 ✺
12.02.26	Jamie Hughes - Tom Lonsdale	0:4 ✺
12.02.26	Tom Lonsdale - Jonathan Platt	4:0 ✺
12.02.26	Martyn Turner - Tom Lonsdale	0:4 ✺
12.02.26	Tom Lonsdale - Nico Plovier	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWW
- Ashley Coleman
Darts
12.02.26	Ashley Coleman - Tom Lonsdale	4:2 ✺
12.02.26	Jonathan Platt - Ashley Coleman	0:4 ✺
12.02.26	Ashley Coleman - Nico Plovier	4:1 ✺
12.02.26	Jamie Hughes - Ashley Coleman	4:3 ✺
12.02.26	Ashley Coleman - Martyn Turner	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
12.02.26	Ashley Coleman - Tom Lonsdale	4:2

Tom Lonsdale - Ashley Coleman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide