Match Info

WORLD: MODUS Super Series

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Tom Lonsdale		Steve Johnstone

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.92	1.81
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.89	1.81	Watch
	1.92	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.91)	1.81 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Lonsdale
48.8%

Steve Johnstone
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Lonsdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Steve Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Lonsdale than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Lonsdale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steve Johnstone than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Steve Johnstone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Lonsdale is ranked World Ranking: 207.

Recent matches Lonsdale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Johnstone is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lonsdale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lonsdale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 2:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Steve Johnstone - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.4%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Lonsdale
Darts
03.10.24	Tom Lonsdale - Shane Mcguirk	4:3 ✺
03.10.24	Adam Lipscombe - Tom Lonsdale	4:3 ✺
02.10.24	Tom Lonsdale - Jonathan Worsley	2:4 ✺
02.10.24	Jim Mayer - Tom Lonsdale	2:4 ✺
02.10.24	Tom Lonsdale - Kai Gotthard	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW
- Steve Johnstone
Darts
03.10.24	Steve Johnstone - Shaun McDonald	4:2 ✺
03.10.24	Shane Mcguirk - Steve Johnstone	4:3 ✺
02.10.24	Steve Johnstone - Jim Mayer	4:2 ✺
02.10.24	Kai Gotthard - Steve Johnstone	0:4 ✺
02.10.24	Steve Johnstone - Daniel Astbury	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
02.10.24	Tom Lonsdale - Steve Johnstone	4:2
01.10.24	Steve Johnstone - Tom Lonsdale	4:0

Tom Lonsdale - Steve Johnstone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide