Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tommy Morris		David Davies

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.2
	1.58	2.28	Watch
	1.58	2.25
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.58)	2.24 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Morris
58.8%

David Davies
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Morris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

David Davies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Morris than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Davies than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Tommy Morris - David Davies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Morris is ranked World Ranking: 110., and Davies is ranked World Ranking: 144..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Morris could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Morris is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Morris has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 3:3.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Tommy Morris - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.07%, but this team recently wins 72% of matches with these odds.

David Davies - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.93%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Morris
Darts
14.10.26	Tommy Morris - Scott Mitchell	4:1 ✺
14.10.26	Ashley Coleman - Tommy Morris	4:2 ✺
14.10.26	Tommy Morris - Sander van Ockenburg-Zwaan	4:2 ✺
14.10.26	Jim McEwan - Tommy Morris	2:4 ✺
14.10.26	Tommy Morris - Jack Tweddell	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWW?
- David Davies
Darts
16.10.26	Jim McEwan - David Davies	0:4 ✺
16.10.26	David Davies - Aaron Turner	4:0 ✺
16.10.26	Sander van Ockenburg-Zwaan - David Davies	0:4 ✺
16.10.26	David Davies - Ashton Brown	2:4 ✺
16.10.26	Josh McCarthy - David Davies	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
04.04.25	Tommy Morris - David Davies	4:3
03.04.25	David Davies - Tommy Morris	4:2

Tommy Morris - David Davies