Match Info

F-Liiga - Play Offs - Final

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Bläk Boks (Lempäälä)


	Classic Tampere		Nokian KrP

	1	X	2
	1.9	4.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.84)	4.3 ↓ (4.8)	3 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Classic Tampere
48.2%

Draw
21.3%

Nokian KrP
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

19.1%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

20.9%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Classic Tampere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Nokian KrP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Classic Tampere than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nokian KrP than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Toriseva L. (G)	80. Rantaniemi I. (G)
10. Heikkila O.	79. Ahola J.
30. Helin V.	61. Alkki L.
63. Hietaranta V.	42. Arkkila O.
8. Karppanen T.	16. Hyrkkonen K.
3. Kilpi O.	71. Hyvarinen L.
6. Laine O.	88. Jonaeson N.
88. Laitila A.	24. Kallio H.
17. Lamminen J. (C)	8. Karvonen V.
36. Lastikka V.	17. Kilpelainen A.
31. Leino I.	6. Kinnunen O.
9. Salin E.	9. Kovanen J.
72. Salokangas T.	44. Laakso M.
20. Salo N.	14. Laukkanen J.
12. Sikkinen E.	33. Mattila J.
22. Trekse P.	70. Rantala J. (C)
4. Tykkylainen K.	10. Simonen T.
24. Vainionpaa M.	76. Ukkonen E.
48. Virtanen V.	39. Viitakoski V.
Substitutes
77. Jaaskelainen P. (G)	1. Karjalainen A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:36, Lastikka V. (G), Salo N. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
15:16, Lastikka V. (G),
18:26, Trekse P. (G), Salo N. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 4)
00:58, Ahola J. (G), Hyvarinen L. (A),
05:47, Hyvarinen L. (G), Ahola J. (A),
06:30, Hyvarinen L. (G), Ahola J. (A),
11:10, Hyvarinen L. (G), Rantala J. (A),
17:01, Trekse P. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:23, Hyvarinen L. (G),

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Classic won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Classic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Classic won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 106:102. (average 5.3:5.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Classic won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 55:54. (average 5.5:5.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	W	L	L	L		Pts
2	Nokian KrP	6	4	1	0	0	0	1	47:27	14
4	Classic	5	3	0	1	0	0	1	35:19	11

Last Results with these Odds

Classic Tampere - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.82%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Classic Tampere
Finnish F-Liiga
03.05.26	Nokian KrP - Classic Tampere	5:4 OT ✺
01.05.26	Classic Tampere - Nokian KrP	6:5 ✺
28.04.26	Nokian KrP - Classic Tampere	5:4 OT ✺
26.04.26	Classic Tampere - Nokian KrP	5:3 ✺
17.04.26	Classic Tampere - Indians Espoo	7:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW
- Nokian KrP
Finnish F-Liiga
03.05.26	Nokian KrP - Classic Tampere	5:4 OT ✺
01.05.26	Classic Tampere - Nokian KrP	6:5 ✺
28.04.26	Nokian KrP - Classic Tampere	5:4 OT ✺
26.04.26	Classic Tampere - Nokian KrP	5:3 ✺
18.04.26	Nokian KrP - Espoon Oilers	10:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish F-Liiga
03.05.26	Nokian KrP - Classic Tampere	5:4 OT
01.05.26	Classic Tampere - Nokian KrP	6:5
28.04.26	Nokian KrP - Classic Tampere	5:4 OT
26.04.26	Classic Tampere - Nokian KrP	5:3
30.01.26	Classic Tampere - Nokian KrP	4:1
13.12.25	Nokian KrP - Classic Tampere	5:4 OT
21.10.25	Classic Tampere - Nokian KrP	3:4

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