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Current Win Probability
Falun 49.9%
Draw 17.8%
Storvreta IBK 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
17.7%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.9%
22.5%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Storvreta IBK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falun than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Falun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Storvreta IBK than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Storvreta IBK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
72. Bending-Sorling C. (G)
31. Nordlund M. (G)
51. Berglund J.
25. Enquist O.
6. Burman P.
19. Eriksson F.
76. Frisch V.
16. Hansson A.
3. Hauge I.
8. Kalldin L.
27. Inglander C.
29. Kohonen G.
22. Johansson E. (C)
10. Lindholm F.
88. Lindborg M.
24. Magnusson O.
23. Lund J.
4. Mattsson E.
29. Lundmark E.
72. Nyback K.
14. Lundmark M.
18. Nydenfeldt H.
13. Morelius H.
55. Nystedt V.
96. Ronnklint M.
17. Schmuki P.
17. Rosenklint L.
66. Sundstedt R.
86. Ruud E.
20. Ulriksson S.
10. Sandberg O.
5. Von Knorring A.
40. Seiler N.
7. Weidman O. (C)
16. Sjoblom L.
5. Wedberg S.
Substitutes
1. Sjoberg P. (G)
94. Parsjo-Tegner M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
01:20, Hansson A. (G), Ulriksson S. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
15:13, Eriksson F. (G), Ulriksson S. (A),
15:37, Weidman O. (G), Parsjo-Tegner M. (A),
17:08, Lund J. (G), Morelius H. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
02:04, Ulriksson S. (G), Kohonen G. (A),
09:26, Lundmark M. (G), Burman P. (A),
18:22, Ruud E. (G), Lund J. (A),
19:32, Johansson E. (G), Seiler N. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Eriksson F. (Penalty Shot),
1, Lundmark M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kohonen G. (Penalty Shot),
2, Morelius H. (Penalty Shot),
3, Ulriksson S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Ruud E. (Penalty Shot),
4, Eriksson F. (Penalty Shot),
4, Lundmark M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Ulriksson S. (Penalty Shot),
5, Ruud E. (Penalty Shot),
6, Kohonen G. (Penalty Shot),
6, Morelius H. (Penalty Shot),
7, Eriksson F. (Penalty Shot),
7, Morelius H. (Penalty Shot),
8, Kohonen G. (Penalty Shot),
8, Lundmark M. (Penalty Shot),
9, Ulriksson S. (Penalty Shot),
9, Ruud E. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Svenska Superligan Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Svenska Superligan Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falun won 0.
Falun is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Storvreta is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Falun may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Storvreta has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Falun is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Falun has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 90:91 (averaging 4.5:4.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Falun against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 49:53 goals (averaging 4.5:4.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Storvreta
5
3
2
0
0
36:22
13
3
Falun
5
3
0
2
0
38:22
11
Last Results with these Odds
Falun - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.46%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Bending-Sorling C. (G) 
Lund J. 
Schmuki P. 
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