The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nurmon Jymy 52.8%
Draw 18.2%
LaSB 29%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53%
18.3%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
20.3%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nurmon Jymy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
LaSB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nurmon Jymy than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for LaSB than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sassi A. (G)
66. Ojala T. (G)
98. Elmeranta A.
96. Dillstrom S.
62. Hakala P.
88. Hamalainen A. (C)
10. Ihala O.
2. Jaanus J.
27. Jokiaho L.
94. Jarvinen O.
11. Kauppila O.
42. Kakko S.
40. Koitto J.
95. Karetjoki E.
20. Koskitalo S.
98. Karjalainen J.
92. Laine E.
70. Koljonen P.
89. Lehtonen N.
52. Lahti L.
88. Liikka S.
25. Lahtinen T.
18. Luukko J.
26. Makela K.
17. Puntanen E.
51. Mettala A.
94. Riihimaki J.
78. Saarinen I.
19. Tarpio V.
48. Sihvonen M.
86. Tenho O. (C)
87. Suutari S.
23. Tuhkanen L.
9. Tilli O.
38. Turigin T.
23. Tyrkas L.
12. Vainionpaa M.
Substitutes
35. Saarikko S. (G)
77. Aartolahti N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
15:34, Koljonen P. (G), Hamalainen A. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
07:30, Suutari S. (G), Koljonen P. (A),
10:15, Tyrkas L. (G), Suutari S. (A),
13:49, Hakala P. (G), Elmeranta A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:27, Tuhkanen L. (G), Tenho O. (A),
15:27, Koljonen P. (G), Karjalainen J. (A),
19:25, Tuhkanen L. (G), Koitto J. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Tenho O. (Penalty Shot),
1, Jaanus J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Lehtonen N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Tyrkas L. (Penalty Shot),
3, Liikka S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Saarinen I. (Penalty Shot),
4, Vainionpaa M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Karjalainen J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Koitto J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Suutari S. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NJ won 4.
NJ is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
LaSB has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
LaSB may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, LaSB has had a run of games away from home.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with NJ holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, NJ has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 92:83 (averaging 5.1:4.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for NJ against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 44:34 goals (averaging 5.5:4.3 per game).