Match Info

SWEDEN: SVENSKA SUPERLIGAN - ROUND 11

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Nykvarns Steelers		Karlstad

	1	X	2
	1.62	6	3.2
	1.62	6	3.2
	1.55	6	3.55
	1.57	5.25	3.68
	1.7	5.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)	5.77 ↓ (6)	3.35 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 10.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykvarns Steelers
56.8%

Draw
15.9%

Karlstad
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

15.2%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

16.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykvarns Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykvarns Steelers than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nykvarns Steelers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Nykvarns is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Karlstad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karlstad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nykvarns is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nykvarns won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Nykvarns won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykvarns Steelers
Swedish Superligan Floorball
24.11.23	Linköping IBK - Nykvarns Steelers	9:3 ✺
19.11.23	Nykvarns Steelers - Helsingborg	3:4 ✺
02.11.23	Nykvarns Steelers - Östra SK Jönköping	4:3 OT ✺
29.10.23	ThorenGruppen - Nykvarns Steelers	8:3 ✺
21.10.23	Kalmarsund - Nykvarns Steelers	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL
- Karlstad Innebandy
Swedish Superligan Floorball
26.11.23	Karlstad - Östra SK Jönköping	5:4 penalties ✺
19.11.23	Mullsjö AIS - Karlstad	6:7 ✺
04.11.23	Karlstad - AIK	5:6 ✺
28.10.23	Storvreta IBK - Karlstad	5:0 ✺
22.10.23	Karlstad - ThorenGruppen	6:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Södra Floorball
11.03.21	Karlstad - Nykvarns Steelers	6:5
05.12.20	Nykvarns Steelers - Karlstad	6:4
29.02.20	Karlstad - Nykvarns Steelers	9:1
23.11.19	Nykvarns Steelers - Karlstad	9:8

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