The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olomouc 38.2%
Draw 18.1%
Asper Šumperk 43.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.6%
18%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
20.1%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olomouc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Asper Šumperk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olomouc than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asper Šumperk than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Asper Šumperk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
3rd Period (4 - 2)
Preview
Olomouc is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Šumperk has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Šumperk could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Šumperk in today's match, at odds of 2.07.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Olomouc has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:24 (averaging 4.4:4.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Olomouc against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:16 goals (averaging 4:5.3 per game).