The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarpsborg 65.2%
Draw 14%
Akerselva 20.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64.9%
15%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
18.7%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Akerselva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarpsborg that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akerselva than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 4.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
In this matchup, Sarpsborg is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 167:115 (averaging 8.4:5.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sarpsborg against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 91:61 goals (averaging 8.3:5.5 per game).