The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sparta Praha 29.7%
Draw 17.2%
Vary Bohemians 53.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.1%
16.6%
51.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
19.5%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Praha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Vary Bohemians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Praha than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sparta Praha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vary Bohemians than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vary Bohemians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hejna V. (G)
29. Draslar A. (G)
11. Blaha M.
21. Bursik J.
40. Curney J.
81. Forman F. (C)
5. Dolejs D.
30. Germann M.
71. Drba R.
54. Hanzal J.
25. Gruber J.
7. Hruska J.
9. Horky D.
23. Jogl J.
89. Krbec M. (C)
11. Kawulok O.
35. Madlo J.
55. Kopejtko S.
97. Malkus M.
9. Krebner M.
16. Muhlfait J.
38. Malic J.
50. Pesat L.
17. Marsalek M.
33. Peska J.
28. Novacek D.
18. Sindler M.
77. Petrak J.
80. Vecl D.
12. Petrak K.
36. Vondruska J.
85. Rada L.
26. Wertheim M.
78. Strachota M.
19. Zahraj A.
Substitutes
77. Simacek V. (G)
91. Giba M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 5)
08:13, Kawulok O. (G), Forman F. (A),
11:48, Malic J. (G), Forman F. (A),
12:33, Petrak J. (G), Forman F. (A),
14:27, Petrak K. (G), Forman F. (A),
17:12, Petrak J. (G), Forman F. (A),
19:15, Gruber J. (G), Sindler M. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
13:00, Krbec M. (G), Curney J. (A),
18:41, Wertheim M. (G), Dolejs D. (A),
19:19, Petrak K. (G), Bursik J. (A),
3rd Period (6 - 3)
02:32, Bursik J. (G), Malic J. (A),
04:06, Petrak J. (G), Forman F. (A),
04:19, Vondruska J. (G), Drba R. (A),
04:39, Krbec M. (G), Blaha M. (A),
08:48, Krbec M. (G), Sindler M. (A),
09:16, Drba R. (G), Vondruska J. (A),
14:18, Dolejs D. (G), Krbec M. (A),
19:29, Petrak J. (G), Forman F. (A),
19:37, Curney J. (G), Krbec M. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Petrak K. (Penalty Shot),
1, Sindler M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Rada L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Vondruska J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Gajdos M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Curney J. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In recent outings, Sparta has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vary shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Vary may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sparta has faced a series of away games on the road.
Vary is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Sparta has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:17 (averaging 7.3:5.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sparta against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:10 goals (averaging 3.5:5 per game).
Czech Republic
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Hejna V. (G) 
Germann M. 
Kopejtko S. 
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