Match Info

Elvi Liga - Play Offs - Final

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Ulbroka		Lekrings

	1	X	2
	1.45	7.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.6)	7.5 ↑ (7)	3.5 ↑ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulbroka
62.2%

Draw
12%

Lekrings
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

12.7%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

14.3%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulbroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ulbroka's performance.

Lekrings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lekrings might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulbroka than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ulbroka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lekrings than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lekrings could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulbroka won 4.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Ulbroka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ulbroka could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ulbroka won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 101:86. (average 6.3:5.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulbroka won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 60:41. (average 6.7:4.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Ulbroka	6	4	1	0	1	46:30	14
3	Lekrings	7	3	2	1	1	37:28	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulbroka Triobet
Latvian Elvi Liga
28.03.26	Ulbroka - Talsi	6:2 ✺
22.03.26	Talsi - Ulbroka	6:8 ✺
21.03.26	Talsi - Ulbroka	1:6 ✺
15.03.26	Ulbroka - Talsi	8:4 ✺
14.03.26	Ulbroka - Talsi	7:8 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL
- Lekrings
Latvian Elvi Liga
02.04.26	Rubene - Lekrings	3:6 ✺
28.03.26	Rubene - Lekrings	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Lekrings - Rubene	8:4 ✺
21.03.26	Lekrings - Rubene	5:4 ✺
15.03.26	Rubene - Lekrings	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Elvi Liga
14.02.26	Ulbroka - Lekrings	4:2
20.11.25	Ulbroka - Lekrings	6:4
20.09.25	Lekrings - Ulbroka	3:9
21.12.24	Lekrings - Ulbroka	6:5 penalties
26.10.24	Ulbroka - Lekrings	5:1
10.02.24	Lekrings - Ulbroka	6:4
19.11.23	Ulbroka - Lekrings	12:4

Ulbroka - Lekrings: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide