Match Info

Elvi Liga

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Valmeira		Kekava

	1	X	2
	2.1	7.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.95)	7.5 (7.5)	1.95 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmeira
42.4%

Draw
11.9%

Kekava
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

11.9%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

11.5%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Kekava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmeira than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kekava than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
3rd Period (3 - 3)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valmeira won 3.

Valmeira has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Kekava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kekava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Valmeira has had a series of away games.

Recently, Kekava has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valmeira won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 125:110. (average 6.3:5.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Valmeira won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:48. (average 5.5:6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBK Valmeira
Latvian Elvi Liga
20.12.25	Irlava Avant - Valmeira	4:2 ✺
13.12.25	Bauska - Valmeira	6:11 ✺
06.12.25	Valmeira - Lekrings	7:8 OT ✺
03.12.25	Rubene - Valmeira	9:5 ✺
28.11.25	SĀC - Valmeira	6:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- FK Kekava
Latvian Elvi Liga
19.12.25	Kekava - Rubene	4:5 ✺
12.12.25	Kekava - Irlava Avant	10:6 ✺
Latvian Estonian League Floorball
06.12.25	Kekava - Sparta	8:7 OT ✺
Latvian Elvi Liga
05.12.25	Kekava - Ulbroka	4:6 ✺
04.12.25	Lielvārde - Kekava	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Elvi Liga
24.10.25	Kekava - Valmeira	8:7 penalties
12.04.25	Kekava - Valmeira	10:9 OT
03.01.25	Kekava - Valmeira	6:7 penalties
30.11.24	Valmeira - Kekava	6:11
13.10.24	Kekava - Valmeira	3:4
15.12.23	Valmeira - Kekava	9:8
29.09.23	Kekava - Valmeira	6:1

Valmeira - Kekava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide